Hey guys..
Isn't it odd that alot of people are saying that Pittsburgh "Lucked up" in winning with a FG over the Jets to advance to this years AFC Championship game but never say that the patriots "Lucked up" in their 2001 home playoff game against the Raiders when Tom Brady fumbled the game away after being hit by Charles Woodson...only to have the referee reference the "Tuck rule" which gave the ball back to the pats and led to the winning FG you have shown above?
good luck
Deb
Isn't it odd that alot of people are saying that Pittsburgh "Lucked up" in winning with a FG over the Jets to advance to this years AFC Championship game but never say that the patriots "Lucked up" in their 2001 home playoff game against the Raiders when Tom Brady fumbled the game away after being hit by Charles Woodson...only to have the referee reference the "Tuck rule" which gave the ball back to the pats and led to the winning FG you have shown above?
good luck
Deb
No but. You know what the record is for away favs is for conference champ game?
Its happned 4 times since '90....3-1. All 3 wins were comfortable wins by 10 or better and all games were like -2,-3.
The only loss was Vikings to the giants in a blowout...but what do you expect from those frauds.
Patriot said:
No, all three wins were not "comfortable by 10 or better."
Denver -3 edged Pittsburgh 24-21. This was the Broncos' closest post-season score during the two years where they won the Super Bowl.
You also chose to go back to just 1990. Had you gone back another ten years you would have seen that conference championship road favorites were just 1-3 or 1-4 SU during the 80's.
patriot..
A little bit of homework shows that NFL home dogs in the playoffs have gone 14-5 straight up and 15-4 ATS overall and since 1990 there have been only three times ( not four ) when oddsmakers installed a home team as a dog in this Championship round, the teams and results are listed below:
1997 SF +2.5 GB...........visiting GB won 23-10
1997 Pitt +3 Den...........visitiing Den won 24-21
2000 Gia +3 Minn..........home team Gia won 41-0
However, a closer look at each team above shows that visiting Green Bay had the same seasonal record of 13-3 as SF entering that contest while Denver ( 12-4 ) had a better seasonal record than Pittsburgh ( 11-5 ), in the case of the Giants who won as a +3 home dog over the Vikes...the Giants had the better seasonal record of 12-4 versus 11-5 for Minny.
What does the above mean? Well, if I wanted to attempt to bend and shape the stats I would point out that the 2000 home dog Giants who won 41-0 over the Vikes are similar to Pittsburgh because the Steelers had the better seasonal record of 15-1 over the pats 14-2.
However, there is simply not enough data to support the conclusion that Pittsburgh will win because they have the better seasonal record than the pats, but then...likewise there simply isn't enough data to support your conclusion that the pats will win simply because they are the road favorites either.
Deb
Yeah but wasn't the playoff format diff?<TABLE class=tborder cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1>You also chose to go back to just 1990. Had you gone back another ten years you would have seen that conference championship road favorites were just 1-3 or 1-4 SU during the 80's.
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Patriot, my point was based on your prognostication. You said that this will be an "adam and leave" game. This means that Vinatieri will kick the ball through the uprights and the players will walk off and jump on the plane. If the Pats lay 3 points, then you can't possibly win by taking the Pats, since they would only win by 1, 2, or 3 points.
Patriot said:
Yes, the Wild Card rounds were different during the 80's, but I don't see how that impacts the conference championships.
If you want to see a really strange playoff format go back to the early 70's when undefeated Miami had to play for the AFC title AT 3-loss Pittsburgh.
(There was some kind of rotation system for home field at the time.)
For the record Miami was a favorite in the 3-point range and won 21-17.
